Some members have understandably asked why we’re not lobbying for the 50% reduction to be reversed, and 100% CGT relief reinstated.
The short answer is that we don’t believe this is a winnable battle. Even if we were successful, any reversal would likely be short-lived. More importantly, embarking on this kind of campaign could put the long-term stability of the EOT regime itself at risk.
There are a few key points to bear in mind here:
1. The fiscal reality
During difficult economic times, we’re not the only ones being targeted on reliefs, and our success in growing the sector means we’re costing more money in relief than planned for.
The original 2013 costing suggested the entire EOT tax regime would cost under £100m in 2018-19. The cost of the CGT relief alone had reached around £600m by 2021-22 and is forecast to rise to around £2bn by 2028-29 without action.
Against that backdrop, defending 100% relief indefinitely was always going to become harder.
2. The evidence on what drives transitions
The EOT incentive has been a powerful catalyst, helping the sector grow from c.150 EO businesses to more than 2,500.
However, in around half of transitions, the CGT relief is the primary driver but not the only one. Legacy, keeping jobs and investment rooted in their communities, and performance benefits are close secondary motivators
In the other half, the model and its wider benefits are the primary factor, with CGT relief an important, but additional, incentive.
This mixed picture makes the case for restoring 100% relief at all costs much harder to sustain when set against the rapidly escalating fiscal cost.
3. The bigger risk: destabilising the entire regime
While the move to 50% relief is unwelcome, it’s still a material advantage versus most alternatives. Had HMRC removed the relief entirely, the case for a major campaign to defend the EOT regime would have been unavoidable.
Right now, our judgement is that the best way to protect the sector is to:
- Ensure the 50% relief can be used in practice, especially for deals already underway
- Demonstrate EOTs can continue to deliver succession, resilience, and productivity gains even with a reduced tax incentive
- Build the longer-term policy case for EO based on impact not just tax